Saturday, October 27, 2007
Hillary To The Rescue, For Conservatives.
Conservative voters have little to spur them to the polls, until…
For the first six years of the the Bush presidency, conservatives have had to wince in fiscal pain as the Republican Congress led by a neo-conservative president spent everything taxpayers sent to Washington and more. The pork pig was dramatically fattened instead of put on a regiment of diet and exercise, as was promised. As a consequence, conservative voters stayed home and the Democrats took over. The trend appears, according to the pollsters, to be carrying over into the next election cycle. So much so that money people, those who give to politicians in hopes of affecting their bottom line, are giving at a high rate to Democrat re-election campaigns.
Well, hold your horses, or wallets. The polls may be inaccurate. WHAT!?
The problem with taking polls more than a year out from an election is that the average voter is not paying attention. Ask him/her who will win the Super Bowl, the World Series, American Idol, (insert poll question here) and you will see the enthusiasm. But ask a political question in a non-political year and watch the eyes glaze over and the interest drop. Except when you ask a question about the Clintons or specifically, Hillary. This woman has one of the highest negative ratings of any politicians since… Well, I can’t think of one inside the U.S.A.
Here is my prediction for the next year. A Hillary nomination by the Democrat party will electrify conservative voters and boost the campaign funds of even the lowest right-of-center politician running for office who has the savvy to use her as the anti-whatever. No one candidate in all of American politics has ever ignited the wide differences of reaction. With Hillary, the voter either likes her or hates her. There seems to be no middle ground. The secret to most politicians is that they are able to maintain ambivalence among their electorate. If voters do not hate them then, they will receive the benefit of the doubt and stay in office. Hillary will not receive that kind of response.
Also, I predict a Hillary Moment to erupt sometime in the next year. I have not read one nice or complimentary article about Hillary’s personality. Oh, you have the occasional sympathetic reporter force some drippy sentiment about how, under that hard, sexless shell there beats the heart of a sensitive, humorous woman. But for the most part, those who have met her do not come away claiming she charmed them. In fact, she is known for a temper and a lack of tolerance for those who disagree with her. So, I am waiting for that moment in the campaign when she is tired of answering the same old questions time and again. When she is worn out defending herself and her politics. Or when her guard is just plain down. Then she is going to explode on someone and ripe them a new one in front of witnesses. THAT will be the moment it all comes crashing down. For the Democrat candidates in close elections, the sooner the better, to get it over with. For conservatives, it can’t come too soon.
For the first six years of the the Bush presidency, conservatives have had to wince in fiscal pain as the Republican Congress led by a neo-conservative president spent everything taxpayers sent to Washington and more. The pork pig was dramatically fattened instead of put on a regiment of diet and exercise, as was promised. As a consequence, conservative voters stayed home and the Democrats took over. The trend appears, according to the pollsters, to be carrying over into the next election cycle. So much so that money people, those who give to politicians in hopes of affecting their bottom line, are giving at a high rate to Democrat re-election campaigns.
Well, hold your horses, or wallets. The polls may be inaccurate. WHAT!?
The problem with taking polls more than a year out from an election is that the average voter is not paying attention. Ask him/her who will win the Super Bowl, the World Series, American Idol, (insert poll question here) and you will see the enthusiasm. But ask a political question in a non-political year and watch the eyes glaze over and the interest drop. Except when you ask a question about the Clintons or specifically, Hillary. This woman has one of the highest negative ratings of any politicians since… Well, I can’t think of one inside the U.S.A.
Here is my prediction for the next year. A Hillary nomination by the Democrat party will electrify conservative voters and boost the campaign funds of even the lowest right-of-center politician running for office who has the savvy to use her as the anti-whatever. No one candidate in all of American politics has ever ignited the wide differences of reaction. With Hillary, the voter either likes her or hates her. There seems to be no middle ground. The secret to most politicians is that they are able to maintain ambivalence among their electorate. If voters do not hate them then, they will receive the benefit of the doubt and stay in office. Hillary will not receive that kind of response.
Also, I predict a Hillary Moment to erupt sometime in the next year. I have not read one nice or complimentary article about Hillary’s personality. Oh, you have the occasional sympathetic reporter force some drippy sentiment about how, under that hard, sexless shell there beats the heart of a sensitive, humorous woman. But for the most part, those who have met her do not come away claiming she charmed them. In fact, she is known for a temper and a lack of tolerance for those who disagree with her. So, I am waiting for that moment in the campaign when she is tired of answering the same old questions time and again. When she is worn out defending herself and her politics. Or when her guard is just plain down. Then she is going to explode on someone and ripe them a new one in front of witnesses. THAT will be the moment it all comes crashing down. For the Democrat candidates in close elections, the sooner the better, to get it over with. For conservatives, it can’t come too soon.
